Quantcast
Channel: Critical Uncertainties » Heuristics
Browsing latest articles
Browse All 3 View Live

Image may be NSFW.
Clik here to view.

AF 447 – What The Crew Did … Maybe

From the BEA’s second interim report (BEA 2009) we now know that AF 447 was flown into the water in a deep stall. Given the training and experience of the flight crew how did they end up in such a...

View Article



Image may be NSFW.
Clik here to view.

No country for the old, black saturday and ‘stay or go’

Disappointingly the Black Saturday royal commission report makes no mention of the effect of cognitive biases upon making a 'stay or go' decision, instead assuming that such decisions are made in a...

View Article

Image may be NSFW.
Clik here to view.

Risk and the matrix

Why the risk matrix? For new systems we generally do not have statistical data on accidents, and high consequence events are, we hope, quite rare leaving us with a paucity of information. So we usually...

View Article
Browsing latest articles
Browse All 3 View Live




Latest Images